Friday, December 22, 2017

AFFL Bowl Preview

SEASON: 50-21

Hey, amemmer a few weeks ago when I realized I would've been 10-3 with a bye secured if I had just patiently held my team together? Well, last week with Hyde scoring 3.9, and Thielen and Green each scoring 3, I would've lost my first playoff game with about 65 points. And that's assuming I still would've picked up and started Dion Lewis.

So instead of once again suffering the annual slings and arrows of outrageous playoff fortunes, I traded my players away early and, by opposing, ended them.

Not only that, since you are also so obsessed with playoff performance, I think it can be said that landing two 1st round picks and a 2nd for three guys who combined to score 9.9 points in the semi-final round is some of the best general managing this league has ever seen.

Thank you. I accept your compliments.

I do really hope I win the NIT this week, though.

Now let's find who will be 2017's most fantastic man.

We already talked about how lucky Gary was to have one of his worst weeks during his bye. Last week, he was lucky enough to face Chris, who was running on fumes at that point. Wentz was hurt, and if Zeke just sucked it up instead of burning four appeals, he would've been active by last week, not this week. Chris' kicker scored 0.

The luck continues this week with AB being knocked out of the lineup.

I am fine with either Scott or Gary winning this week. Seriously. They've both been there since the beginning, they try every year, and they make things fun. I prefer Gary's "Kill The Rich" policies over Scott's "Blame Black People For The Problems Thrust Upon Them" policies. Though I don't know where either one of them stand on Selma-killing policies.

From a comedy perspective, picturing Gary being told "You're ruining Christmas!" because he's screaming about a Zach Ertz touchdown that gives Scott the title is pretty good.

Let's go ahead and give this one a full positional breakdown, shall we?

Although the Texans were completed shredded by Bort Blakles last week, we're talking about Road Ben with no AB here. Plus a game the Steelers should win on the road is a problem in the Tomlin era, plus the emotional letdown from last week, plus the pressure from Jacksonville winning on Sunday and getting closer to stealing a bye, plus Martavis definitely dropping at least one long TD pass.

On the other side, the Bills did hold Brady down a couple of weeks ago, but this one is back in Foxboro. He'll get at least 2 TDs. Separately, 5 titles takes the sting out of anything, but the potential that Brady's NE career ends over a dispute involving his quack trainer plus Jimmy GQ becoming the next superstar QB in San Francisco is a really pleasurable thought.

Slight edge to Gary

McCoy is hurt and Fournette is hurt and the Niner rush defense isn't terrible. Melvin Gordon should have a nice matchup against the Jets, but it's the West Coast team flying east for a 1pm start, which is always a problem. Very likely the Chargers come out flat and need to throw in the second half to catch up. That hurts Gordon.

Latavius Murray is absolutely getting one goal line TD this week, if not two. Kamara and Freeman will run wild in what should be a shootout. (PS, ATL has given up the most receiving yards to RBs this year. Kamara is good at receiving yards.) Carlos Hyde, who cost Gary a first round pick, is on the bench.

Significant edge to Gary

Dez vs. Robert Woods and Jarvis Landry. Oof. I wouldn't want to count on any of these guys in a title game. Also, my 2015 theory that superstar WRs and replacement RBs was the way to go was already dissolving because so many good backs were coming into the league, but this WR lineup in the title game officially puts it to rest.


Scott is the only one starting a tight end, so I guess he wins?

Default edge to Scott



Oh, interesting, the two defenses from the thrilling Detroit v Cincinnati tilt here. Well, the Bengals have given up completely and their coach has maybe quit or is maybe moving into the front office or is maybe staying on board. They've scored 14 total points the last two weeks. A late pick 6 is very much in play for Detroit.

On the other side, most of Cincy's DST is bad or hurt. They've given up like 60+ points the last two weeks and have scored a total of -1 fantasy point the last two weeks. The Lions very much need this game and will come out hot.

Significant edge to Scott

So there you have it. Gary will go to bed happy on Saturday night because Murray scored like 15 points, Scott won't get within shouting distance on Christmas Eve, and the Christmas night games will just be a formality. Although Gary will somehow talk himself into the possibility of Ben and Ertz combining for 45 more points than Elliott scores, leading to loose and squeaky stress poops while everybody else is eating ham.

The season that began with Gary stressing out over the draft freezing ends with Gary stressing out over a meaningless game, with a lot of Gary stressing out sandwiches in between.

Me, I was figuratively laying in a hammock all season. I really recommend selling off your players after Week 4 for peace of mind.


Friday, December 15, 2017

AFFL Semi-Final Preview

SEASON: 49-20

This final four has everything from A to B. Three Alberts and one Barker. I thought about ranking the potential champs from least objectionable to most, but every time I came up with a list I realized that, honestly, you could just as easily reverse the list. Simply awful all around. Maybe this is why the steam is leaking from the league. There's never a champion to be happy for, just ones you tolerate.

Also, just to clarify my point about last week since I always have to clarify points for you chucklehead. The issue isn't whether or Gary is good this year, it's that it's so unbelievably lucky that he tanked last week when he had the bye, a bye he just barely earned.

So my point is, as always, that focusing on each year's champ is appealing to simple minds, but a better measure of who's actually good year after year. And yeah, the multiple times I've done that tally I'm in the top third of the league, but not the top. I can't catch Scott, Chris, and Brian Williams.

I'm sure the money is nice, but who wins in a given year is overrated.

With that said, let's find out who might win this year.

The Pats shut down Ben last year and are certain to bracket AB this weekend. Fournette is likely to sit out this game with a quad problem. Dez Bryant has the speed of a tight end.

On the other side, I saw a stat that since 2014, Julio Jones AVERAGES 27 points against the Bucs. Josh Gordon gets the same Raven secondary that handed 217 yards to AB last week, Keenan Allen gets a Chief secondary that's falling apart, and Alshon gets a Giants team that's quit.

By the first quarter on Monday night, Julio will have sealed this win.


Here's something for Gary to think about

I don't think he'll bomb this week against the Steelers, but next week? When he faces the Bills again? The team that held him to 6.6 fantasy points in Week 13 before he scored 7.7 against the Dolphins?

Now look, I am very much hoping that Carlos Hyde only puts 4 points this week and Gary loses by like 8, meaning the difference between Hyde and guy-worth-a-1st-rounder-in-a-trade-before-he-got-cut CJ Anderson decides this game, but that doesn't seem very likely.

Oh hey, I just realized that 3 of my Week 1 players are in this game. It remains to be seen if Green, Thielen, and Hyde still carry my playoff hex in their DNA.

Anyway, there's no need to keep talking about this one. Brady, Kamara, and Freeman are just going to be too much. Like Julio, Freeman is going to clinch this one early Monday and then just pad the lead.

THE PICK: TNR 90 - AT 80

Monday, December 11, 2017

AFFL Wild Card Review

Scott and I were so, so, so close to solving America's racial issues on Sunday, but in the end we unfortunately came up short. Whether failure in this country is individual or structural or what combination thereof still remains to be determined.

Though the role model claims are certainly fascinating to me. Because during the Presidential election and in the months after we were shown profile after profile of white Americans who were failing by typical standards. Poor, addicted to drugs, higher divorce rates, less education, creating shorter life expectancies than any other demographic in the industrial world. Who was telling them it was okay to live this way?!

I hope to soon learn what terrible role models these poor whites in Appalachia and the rural South are taking their cues from. Hopefully not athletes. Maybe their only role models are Violent J, Shaggy 2 Dope, their fellow Juggalos, and Vince McMahon. Why can't they find better role models like...I don't know...activist hedge fund manager Bill Ackman?

Maybe it's simpler. Maybe the first half of the 20th century was dedicated to organizing minorities into certain areas and actively quarantining them, and then the second half was dedicated to diffusing whites out into the rural hinterlands and passively forgetting about them.

Either way, I am sure we will get to the bottom of this in our fantasy football league!

Here's a song for those who have fallen into the Cumberland Gap.

I was wrong. Kenyan Drake is actually pretty good. I don't know how much credit Chris deserves for just blindly picking up a running back after Miami traded the other guy, but I do know that I'm looking forward to drafting Drake next year with Chris' former 1st round pick. Drake is 2018's Jordan Howard, who was 2017's David Johnson, who was 2016's CJ Anderson, who was 2015's Andre Ellington, who was 2014's CJ Spiller.

*Reminder that Semi drafted Ellington two spots ahead of where Bri landed AB.

Bri put up his 4th-worst score of the year and now sees himself out of the playoffs once again. He technically played the wrong QB for a final time, though Cam only outscored Alex Smith by 4 points. Gurley had a huge game, but Ajayi did nothing even though Philly scored 43. He technically made the right choice on defense, since the Steelers had -2 and the Ravens had -2.5

By the way, it looked like Travis Kelce scored a TD, but was ruled down inside the 1 on replay. Conversely, Adam Thielen caught a 10-yard pass and then avoided 3 Panthers over the next 42 yards to score a TD with only 5 minutes left in the game. -6 for Kelce by inches and +11.2 for Thielen by inches and there you have it.

Chris gets to move on, but Jacoby Brissett is now his QB for the rest of the playoffs. FYI, Jacoby Brissett has to face Denver next week. FYI again, Wentz' ACL surgery typically has a 9-12 month recovery period, so he might miss next year, too. At least Wentz was kind enough to put 25 points before leaving for the season. Chris made the right choice to bench Robby Anderson after his hot streak, though Murray and Green just barely outdid Anderson's 2.7.

Gary is extremely lucky he got a bye this week, because he only scored 50.4 points. What an amazing bit of strategy on his part to not play in the week when Kamara gets hurt and Brady struggles in Miami.

In all seriousness, this is exactly why earning the byes are so important. It's one less chance for bad luck to bite you in the ass.

Bri scores 50 points in Week 12, so he doesn't get a bye and ends up losing in the first round. Gary scores 50 points in Week 14 and he's 1 win from the title game. Clearly Gary is much better at fantasy football than Bri because he has a better sense of timing.

Scott might be right that this was one of the best games in AFFL history, but this is so ridiculously unlucky for Tim. It really makes absolutely no sense that he's knocked out of the playoffs even though he outscored a team that "won" by 40. What does this measure except luck?

Credit to Scott for sure, though, for putting up 130 this week. Here are some wild stats for ya. Ben is the only QB with 3 different 500-yard passing games in NFL history. The 223 yards he threw for in THE FOURTH QUARTER would be the 5th-most passing yards allowed in a 2017 game by the Ravens by itself.

McCoy somehow managed to run for 156 yards in 3 feet of snow. Dez shook one shitty arm tackle and ran 50 yards for a TD. Sure, he was as fast as a tight end getting there, but he still got there. The only offensive player who didn't post a TD for Scott was AB, who had 213 yards.

Howard, Hunt, and Hopkins combined for 74 points and Tim still lost. Unbelievable.

I'll still write a preview this week, but could it be more obvious that Scott emptied the tank this week and when Belichick quadruple covers AB, that Barker will beat Scott 70-62 while Gary loses to Chris 101-100?

Friday, December 8, 2017

AFFL Wild Card Preview

SEASON: 49-18

What an incredible season of picks. 73% correct! Amazing!

I think next year I might start a side pool for us all to pick games and we'll kick in like $10 a piece, winner take all. Of course, only 2 of you will respond to that idea because half of the league are miserable lumps looking for the first excuse to drop their team.

Listen, you don't need an excuse. Just go. We can get by with 10 teams. Hell, having a couple of seasons of an 8-team turbo league where the scores are 150-140 would be fun. This league is so goddamn dull. If you can't be the change the world needs, then go.


Nice luck for Gary that he had a bye the week Kamara finally didn't score a ton of points. Being smashed in the temple on the first drive will do that to a guy. Truly, the angels are on Gary's shoulders this season.

May the four teams actually playing this week find the strength to keep Satan away from their rosters.

The most beloved owner in the league versus...Chris. It's like the Rooneys against Jerry Jones. Bri is starting Alex Smith, which means Cam will have 25 points this week. On the other hand, each Kelce reception is double points, though scoring 2 TDs in the first quarter will be hard to repeat this week. Crabtree is in great shape with Cooper out and Marcus Peters suspended, but it's hard to have faith in Demaryius with this whole Denver situation. That situation being their 2017 season.

Chris is going 4 wide this week, although Robby Anderson is dealing with a hamstring tweak and Chris Harris, Jr. on Sunday, so he should be held in check. Funchess is dealing with a shoulder injury and AJ Green is dealing with Andy Dalton's existence, so Thielen will need to carry the group here. I do not foresee Kenyan Drake having a second big week in a row, but crazy things have happened to the Pats in prime time in Miami before.

These are playoff teams. There might be four good players in this entire game.


Fitting that Tim will have to get past the team with the most insulting name in the league in order to truly make this the Year of Tim. It's like how the Steelers will need to beat the Pats twice to get to the Super Bowl this year. (They need home field advantage to have even a decent chance)

Speaking of the Steelers, their points are always have a governor on the throttle in prime time Baltimore games, so Ben and AB will be down. The Giants are down their best CB, but Dez is a glorified tight end, so don't expect much there. Fournette has the Seattle front 7 to deal with and the Seahawks probably will not respect Bort Blakles too much, so it'll actually become a front 9.

I say Kareem Hunt gets in the end zone for the first time in months and we turn another calendar page in the YEAR OF TIM!


Friday, December 1, 2017

AFFL Week 12 Preview

SEASON: 45-16

I'm not adding last week's picks in because I screwed up so badly. Somehow I convinced myself there were only 3 teams in each division and picked accordingly. The picks I meant to have went about .500, but who even knows what was what. I don't think I was drunk last Saturday afternoon when I rushed out the picks, but maybe it was residual effects.

Last week officially eliminated me from the playoffs, so I guess I need to sing the same song I sing to the trophy every season.

By the way, that stunning information I teased earlier this afternoon? I'm saving it for the end.

Gary punched his playoff ticket with a 2-0 Thanksgiving week, and his playoffs certainly will not end in tragedy like they did last year. He is definitely winning it all this year. For sure.

Scott has no chance at winning the division because even if he wins this game, the head-to-head tiebreaker will be 1-1 and Gary will win the division record tiebreaker. Gary could still lose the division to Tim, however, if he loses and Tim wins. And whoever wins this division gets a bye, so this game matters 66%.

Hey, remember back in September when I said Dez sucks and Barker pushed back on that saying he'd rather have Dez as a franchise player than almost anybody I had then he cut Dez and Scott picked him up in a pseudo-trade? Scott is benching Dez in this crucial game. The only separation Dez gets these days is being separated from the good WRs on rankings. Once again, if folks would listen to me the first time, I could save everybody a lot of trouble. But you guys are so determined to fight my rightness. I have no idea why.

By the way, I don't care about one Dez touchdown. Dez is basically a decent tight end who costs more than any other tight end by like 50%.

The Bills should hold down Brady a touch in a must-win home game, Hilton will do nothing against Sacksonville (#1 D SHOUT OUT!), Landry will do nothing against Denver, and Kamara is due to miss the end zone one of these weeks.

Ben and AB are on the road, which is bad. They're in Cincy, which is bad. But they're playing in prime time, which is usually amazing. Scott's backfield will keep this close through Sunday, and then a 1st quarter TD will give Scott the win.

But will Gary hang on for the division?


I ranked Brian #1 before the season and here he is with a chance to lock up the #1 seed. Funny how that works. Meyers beat McCamey, but lost every other key head-to-head matchup for playoff tiebreakers. So he needs to win and get some helpful losses.

Seattle is actually a home underdog for the first time in years and Philly has been getting their tires pumped for weeks now, so it wouldn't surprise me to see Wilson throw for 5 TDs Sunday night. Julio never has two huge games in a row, but Keenan should smoke Cleveland, and the entire Seattle secondary is hurt, so Alshon might be okay.

Meyers needs Matt Ryan to go off without throwing a TD to Julio, and he needs the Cardinals to slow down the prolific Rams. Michael Thomas needs to catch TDs out of doors.

All in all, I think it's going to seem feasible come Monday. Meyers will be down something like...20, and it'll be possible that Bell can make up the difference. But he won't.

THE PICK: RM 92 - AH 88

Mannnnnnnn, did Bri blow it last week. 50 points? If you're going to come at me saying this season isn't fluky and the good teams are scoring as much as ever and you're one of the good teams and you put up a fluky 50 in the crucial double week? Mannnnnnnnnn. Again, why do you all have such a problem with me being right? Just let it wash over you. It's comfortable. It's easy.

Anyway, Bri can still make the playoffs with a loss if Meyers and McCamey both lose, but a win clinches his spot. With Gary losing, Tim can clinch a bye with a win, so we got a big one here, folks!

Bri could really, really use Michael Crabtree this week, especially with Janoris Jenkins hitting IR and the Giants apparently quitting for the season, but Crab is suspended for a playground fight. Him going after Talib for snatching his chain is like Gary going after Dietrich for stepping on his new shiny white Nikes.

Sidebar for another funny Dietrich story. Jim and Missy now live in Austin along Lake Travis, and they are friends with Andy Mollenauer, who went to Penn State Beaver. We're friends with the Mollenauers through North Hills soccer. Andy has always been a big boater and the Dietrichs liked going on the boat, so when they moved from Jersey to Austin and bought a house on a lake, Jim pretty quickly bought a boat. Problem is, he never actually drove the boat before, so he had no idea what to do. So Andy had to fly down to Austin and spend a few days there showing Jim how to pilot and maintain and winterize a boat. The whole thing cracks me up. Who buys a boat first and then is like, "Okay, time to figure out how to boat!"

Tim could also use Amari this week, I guess, but he almost died last week and is out this week. Also...wait a minute. Why is Marqise Lee in Tim's starting lineup. Who is missing here?




Wow. I will admit, Andy Reid is completely screwing up the Chiefs right now because he's fallen in love with reverse bubble screens to the backup tight end, and he's only giving Hunt the ball 9 times a game, but still. This is gutsy.

You know what? It's the year of Tim! Lee scores a TD, Hunt only has 6 points, and Tim clinches a bye!

Didn't know how to drive a boat. Heh.


Barker can clinch a single lottery ball with a loss here. Remember, only one ball would be good in Gary world. On the other hand, he could potentially knock Chris out of the playoffs with a win, which would be hilarious.

Also, a Barker win here would give me an extra lottery pick thanks to the AJ trade and could potentially give me the one magic lottery ball, so my rooting interests are clear.

Of course, Barker benched Dak in favor of Bort Blakles. I don't care that he's facing Indy, he's still Bort Blakles. He's also starting two tight ends. On the other hand, Chris is starting Kenyan Drake. Does a team starting Kenyan Drake really deserve to make the playoffs? I submit that they do not.

Hey, remember when Brian Barker claimed the best receiving corn? Technically, Chris does. He has 3 different top-10 WRs. One is Thielen and one is Robby Anderson. The third is AJ.

The 4th best WR right now is Marvin Jones, who has been very hot the last 5 weeks. Again, a fluky year.

God, I can't even pretend Barker is going to win this game. And I really, really, REALLY want to.

THE PICK: AT 81 - TNB 55

McCamey can't make the playoffs with Chris winning, so who cares?


Confession time. I'm going to tell you all something that is going to make me look like a genius and an idiot at the same time. But the fact that I'm even telling you and not keeping it to myself is a sign of my unimpeachable integrity.

So...after looking at WR stats and seeing that Chris' top 10 WRs included two of my former guys, and knowing that I was extremely close to grabbing Robby Anderson in pre-season camp, I started wondering what would've happened if I didn't make any trades this season. What if I just rode it out, either because the 2018 draft wasn't that good, or I stubbornly thought my team would turn it around, or I just pouted and quit making moves.

Quick sidebar - after some pre-deadline contract maneuvers, the 2018 draft is not quite as good as I was anticipating back in September. It's still better than 2017, but it's now simply very good instead of amazing.

Anyway, I'd have 3 top 10 WRs, 1 top 10 RB, and the #1 DST by a wide margin. If I still had my Week 1 roster intact, if I was still getting those points each week, how would my team be? So I went back to look at weekly scores, then slotted in Green, Thielen, Hyde, Butker, and Cooper week by week. I didn't change any bench players, I just assumed I would've started AJ over Martavis or Hyde over Marlon Mack.

Also, this doesn't even include me giving up on Latavius Murray way too early.

If I had just held tight, my record right now would be...




I really don't even want to say it. I'm going to throw up.


I'd be 10-3 right now. I'd have a bye clinched for the 3rd time in 4 years. I'd have a shot at being the #1 seed for the 2nd time in 3 years.

Instead, I'm essentially a scientist who threw away the first concrete evidence of alien communication because I didn't trust the data.

My 2017 draft was, once again, genius. I managed to pull the #1 team out of a junkyard of a draft. I was the Chip and Joanna Gaines of this draft. I breezed right past injuries to key contract players.

But I was too clever. Too smart for my own good! So determined to get the lead on the 2018 draft that I lost all 2017 flexibility, even when I knew this was going to be a weird, flat, wide open year. And also, doubt crept in. I didn't believe I could possibly be smart enough to cobble together the best team in the league out of spare parts. But I was. I was so good this year that even I couldn't believe it.


So there it is. I'm just giving this to you, free.


Also, Brian Barker is right. This league is boring as hell any more. But I need to save that discussion for next week.

Friday, November 17, 2017

AFFL Week 11 Preview

SEASON: 45-16

45 and 16! I am positive that you all do not appreciate how impressive that is. It's the only thing I've done right this year.

Actually, I've also done an excellent job of delivering terrific music and video content this season and it stills irks me that Gary is just categorically closed off to any new experiences. Who wants to live like that? To get Gary to finally understand what he's been missing out on all season, allow me to present a brand new song that is one of the greatest things I've ever heard.

Amazing. Neal McCoy has really given me a lot of think about.

But hey, music is subjective. I get that. But who would go out of their way to not have chuckles at the end of the week? Who would not enjoy watching some Scottish guys yell at their friend because he got hit by a bus?


I could laugh at that 10 times in a row. And look at me! I love life! Maybe Gary wouldn't be so tense all the time if he rocked some more chuckles.

Anyway, there's a lot to cover this week and very little of it is actually about the games, so find a comfortable chair.

Oh wait. First, remember a couple of weeks ago when I wasted my time trying to turn you guys onto black Twitter and said Anthony Adams was a good starting point? Guess who is getting a new TV show? Correct, former Nittany Lion Anthony Adams.

Seriously, Larry will tell you. I am always head of the curve. I can keep you guys cool as your bodies start to break down. But I can only reach my hand out halfway.

Hey, I know I'm not very good, but Barker is starting Bort Blakles against me? AND two tight ends? Is this to win a bet? Or is this a lottery tank? Brother, if you think you can out tank me...actually. Shoot, I think I'm going to win this game. I don't want to win games! I might need to make some "strategic" lineup decisions.


Sticking with pettiness for a second, I forgot the guy who shot up a Colorado Wal-Mart when I was winning the slaughter battle 2-1. Now with this maniac in Northern California this week, it's actually 4-1 domestic violence white guys over ISIS in the past 6 weeks. I'm running away with this argument!

PS, thanks to a quick-thinking teacher and lockdown drills, by like one minute we avoided having like 45 kids slaughtered at their school. It barely made the news.

But yeah, ISIS. Oooooooooh! ISIS GONNA GETCHA! The only time ISIS threatened you guys is when I was the #1 team in the league two straight years.

While we're talking about Gary's bad takes, what the hell is the deal with O.J. Howard this season? Gary drafted "the next Gronk," cut him twice before the season even had a crust on it, signed him to a 2-year deal in Week 8 and then cut him again before the freeze. Occasionally I wonder if Gary knows what he's doing.

Also, I somehow missed Luck being cut (maybe didn't scroll down in the email), but Devonta Freeman is rewarding Gary for his new franchise spot by missing this week's game with a concussion.

Speaking of weird decisions, Semi put Chris Carson on IR early this year and cut Jordy Nelson at the freeze, but he didn't give Carson a contract. Will Fuller and Corey Davis got contracts instead. Semi will head into 2018 with an All-Pro(tential) WR corps between Fuller, Davis, and Tyreek. If you're curious how locking up a bunch of young, potentially great receivers goes, just ask me.

I really want Gary to miss the playoffs this year so I end up with 2 lottery picks, so I'll pick him to lose this game.


McCamey heads into 2018 with Derrick Henry and Joe Mixon, two young guys who are supposed to be great but haven't been great enough to take the starting jobs. He also has Larry's first two picks, which will be fun to watch.

Tim made an early decision to sign Jordan Howard, didn't move Kelvin Benjamin so he loses DeAndre Hopkins this summer, and he kept Jared Goff, all of which prevented him from signing Mark Ingram during a career year. Sure, this late in the year, extending Ingram would've jacked up his price to something crazy like $1.92. Which, uh, is what he's currently paying for Jordan Howard.

But this is the Year Of Tim, so I am not going to question it.

I tell you what, though. If McCamey gets somebody in the starting lineup to replace Bilal Powell's bye, Monday night's Richardson vs. Coleman matchup is going to be a lot more interesting than you might expect.


Brian signed Josh Gordon to a a 3-year what the hell contract, which is exactly what I was thinking about doing myself. I just got tired of ending up with bust contracts on my balance sheet. 

Also, look at Brian's roster sheet. Look at how many players he ran through! Usually it's only Chris who touches 20+ players a year. This year, only Meyers and Brian Williams avoided going through players like they were chips, and that's because Bri runs both of those teams. Anecdotal to be sure, but more evidence that this was a weird year. Everybody changing their minds on who they wanted every week.

THE PICK: RM 75 - TWR 60

I'm great at picking games each week, but even you dum dums can figure this one out. Which is fine, because this matchup provides a lot of tangential subjects.

First, I enjoyed Madden view for last night's game, but having the mic close enough to hear an o-lineman yell out "Got 'em!" when the Titans jumped offside before the first TD was outstanding. Any sports league could increase viewership 1000% with full, uncensored field-level audio. I also enjoyed how clearly that view showed that Demarco Murray has terrible vision. God, he sucks. And he just never goes away.

Second, I loved that ESPN article today about Jerry Jones going after Gooddell, and then I loved it even more when video of Jones denigrating black people somehow magically leaked this afternoon. Amazing how that happens sometimes. I still think Roger Gooddell is a genuinely dumb guy, unable to anticipate or understand contrarian thoughts, but somebody at least taught him revenge.

As for roster talk, Scott gave Zach Ertz a contract and did a good job moving guys around so he could keep Fournette. But then he signed Dez for 2 years after giving up a 2nd rounder for him, which I'll call...debatable.

Chris gave Thielen a 2-yr deal after our trade. Since I am open and honest, early in the season, I was between Martavis, Thielen, and Hyde as far who would get my 2-yr deals. I did not choose wisely. None of my last four 2-yr contracts - Ware, Chris Michael, Martavis, Hyde -  will see their contracts through to the final day.

Then again, Mike Barker cut 4 different 2-yr deals just this year, so I can't be doing that bad.


Bri can't lose this game!

But seriously, folks, Bri Williams came at via email this week, which I thought was a little weird. I don't know why so many of you are also so eager to point out my shortcomings, jumping at any chance to put me down. It seems really small and I'm not sure where it comes from.

Short version was he claimed that this was actually not a bad fantasy year, I just think it is because I'm having a bad year. The top teams are scoring just as many points as they have in past years. I didn't have time to look into it at the moment, so I conceded that he was probably right. But at the same time, I told him that I had been referring to the abnormal amount of 30- and 40-point games we had seen at the lower end this season. Additionally, the draft usually doesn't match the final stats too closely, but this year had a large amount of random and fluky players having huge games while Julio posts a 7 every week.

But tonight I do have time! I also have just as much pettiness as I ever did. So I went back and looked at 2013-2017, comparing the average PPG of the top three teams and the bottom three teams.

YEAR           TOP 3 PPG                BOTTOM 3 PPG
2017               87/89/90                     58/64/66
2016               92/93/94                     68/72/73
2015               88/91/92                     58/70/75
2014               90/92/102                   69/74/77
2013               92/93/95                     70/71/71

Clearly I am right and Bri is wrong because points are indeed down this season. Now, true, at the top end it's only a 6% decline from the best season. But at the bottom end, scoring is down 15%. So somehow I'm right twice in the same point.

But further, I'd say the craziest name in last year's Top 10 WR scoring was Davante Adams. This year, Adam Thielen, Tyreek Hill, Robby Anderson, JuJu, and Robert Woods are all in the top 10. Last year's surprise Top 10 RB was Jordan Howard, a rookie. This year's Top 10 right now has 3 rookies, Hunt, Kamara, and Fournette, plus Chris Thompson. The SAINTS actually have TWO Top 10 RBs right now.

So yes, this is a wild, unpredictable year, and the worst teams in the league are worse than normal, making it a boring year as well. When nothing makes sense, it only makes sense that a guy who was top 3 in PGG in both 2014 and 2015 (me) has lost this year.

A point to Bri, though, is that the 2018 first round is not going to be nearly as deep as I originally anticipated thanks to some crafty contract moves at the deadline. My team still wasn't going anywhere this year, but all of the picks I've landed aren't going to be as valuable as I had hoped.

Bri cut Crowell, like we all knew he had to, and kept DeShaun. So next year we'll all be treated to emails like "You can have Cam for a 1st round pick, or DeShaun for your next nine 1st rounders. You know it's worth it! They're so cheap!"

He also kept 2 defenses after the freeze, which...okay?

I was initially skeptical about Meyers (more like...BRYERS!) giving JuJu a 2-yr deal, but then I saw he was a Top 10 WR so far. Man! Weird year.


Saturday, November 11, 2017

AFFL Week 10 Preview

SEASON: 39-15

I don't want to get off (start off?) on a tangent here, but the start of last night's game was a pretty interesting scene. Not the Seahawks highlighter uniforms, which are unbearably ugly and stupid. It was the moment of silence for the victims of yet another AR-15 slaughter. That's interesting enough since they seem to be bi-weekly at this point. We might as well just leave our flags at half-mast permanently.

Side note: Did I ever mention the semi-heated discussion Gary and I after the San Bernardino shooting? He was worried about ISIS breaking into his house and teabagging his forehead while he slept, and my point of view was that he had a better chance of being killed by a white guy at South Hills Village. Well, I'm currently winning our slaughter matchup 2-1 this season. Hurrah!

Anyway, it's NFL Propaganda Month for "the troops." So there's a moment of silence for the people killed by an Air Force veteran, then Kristen Chenoweth - a vocal LGBTQ supporter and Trump opponent - sings the National Anthem while wearing an Army green Cardinals jersey. With rhinestones studding the numbers on her chest. Then we cut to the sidelines where defensive coordinators are wearing Army green hoodies with fake bars on the left breast. How do we support the troops? With 4 percent of net proceeds from a marketing venture! America!

I'm not quite sure I have the words to express how I feel about all of this. I might need...

At first, I was a little irked about Gary's loud boast (?) that he's ignoring all embedded media in the posts this year. Then I realized that when you've already discovered sonic perfection, why waste the next 27 years listening to anything new? When you're on top of Everest, the only way to go is down.

If you're wondering - and I have no idea why you would be - "More Than Words" has 93 million streams on Spotify. Not as many as some Ed Sheeran song which is over 1 billion, but it's 3 times as many as "Panama", which I think should become the new national anthem.

Seriously though, all of the music is good and all of the clips are funny. If you didn't take 20 seconds to watch Jameis eat his fingers so you could have one small chuckle in this horrible world, fine. Be miserable until you're dead. Me, I'll be chuckling at GIFs in hospice care, going out amused.

I'm not going to win this game. But I might have had more fun this year trading for picks than I've had actually competing in past seasons. It's like when I play Grand Theft Auto and have more fun doing the side missions than the actual story. Although I've landed so many picks next year - 6 in the first 2 rounds! - that there will be a lot of pressure to build a good team in 2018.

Which I'll then trade for more picks.


When Gary approached me about Hyde on Monday, he warned that if I wrote anything about it, all trade talks were immediately off. Off, he tells ya! After the deal was completed, he said I was free to tell everybody how I got the better of him. But I think it was just a regular good deal. Hyde is good, still under contract, and definitely better than anybody Gary would've taken with that pick anyway.

Anyway, this game. Did you realize that Barker has 3 Cowboys, 3 tight ends, 2 kickers, and 2 defenses? This is just a bizarre roster. And still, I'm not 100% convinced Gary will win this game. Both Dez and T.Y. might miss the game, and there's nobody great on the bench to sub in. Kamara and Thompson both face good defenses, and Hyde and Jones should be good this week, but how many times has "should" fizzled out in the past 368 days?

Freeman has been a bust, Cooks won't score against Denver...I guess the difference will be a garbage time DST TD for the Panthers on Monday night.


Not sure what's more hilarious. Chris losing Zeke and his chances at a threepeat, or Jerry Jones being willing to blow up the entire NFL because Gooddell dared to suspend one of his guys. Speaking of the NFL, we're clearly past the peak. Two years ago, both fantasy football and the NFL were at their peaks. Everybody was joining in, like the poker boom. But also like the poker boom, a bunch of people have taken stupid losses, become disillusioned and quit. The NFL is no longer inevitable.

And what about this game? Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Jacoby Brissett? This is supposed to be fun? Semi needs this win to stay in the playoff race This is like an all-in with 4-4 against J-10 off suit.

Damien Williams, Corey Davis, and Ted Ginn? My word.

THE PICK: AT 85 - LBJ 47

Bri asked me what DeSean would cost this week, and I told him a 5th. Before he responded to me, he picked up Terrence Williams. Then he told me both Williams and Jackson are equally bad, but at least Williams was free. Very insulting stuff.

Look...I mean...look at Bri's roster this year. This roster is FUCKING TERRIBLE. And yet Bri will be 6-4 after this week.

Again, whomever wins the title should feel more shame than pride. This is a terrible, awful, trash, shit year. It'll be like the 2000 Best Album Grammy when Santana and Rob Thomas beat out the Backstreet Boys, Dixie Chicks, and TLC. Meaningless. Worthless.


Carlos Hyde would be Brian's best RB and he used a 1st round pick on Terrelle Pryor, so I don't know what he's going on about.

Here's something interesting. Evan Engram has reached double digits for 3 weeks in a row. He might be better than O.J. Howard, even. I don't like Miller to do much against the Rams stacking the box, so Barker will get nothing from his backs. Tim, on the other hand, should get some nice, nice points from Coleman, Ingram, and Howard, so let's go on ahead and just give him the win.

Two weeks in a row Tim had to face a top team for control of the #1 seed, two weeks in a row Tim comes out on top. Truly, this is the year of Tim!

THE PICK: SS 86 - RM 73

WTTK? (4-5) vs. ANIMAL HOUSE (4-5)
I thought Bilal Powell looked pretty lively last week. He could be really good on the right team. That's the only good thing I can think of for McCamey this week. As hard as it is to believe, the team with Sterling Shepherd and Paul Richardson at WR is not going to win this week. Le'Veon Bell might win this game by himself.